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Why is the program predictability measure the primary Metric used during the quantitative measurement part of the Inspect and Adapt event?

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Bharath Kumar
Bharath Kumar is a seasoned professional with 10 years' expertise in Quality Management, Project Management, and DevOps. He has a proven track record of driving excellence and efficiency through integrated strategies.

A. To match customer demand to the Agile Release Train’s velocity

B. To predict the scope of the remaining requirements in the Program Backlog

C. To measure the predictability of business value delivered in the PI timebox

D. To forecast when remaining features could be delivered to customers

The correct answer is

The program predictability measure is the primary metric used during the quantitative measurement part of the Inspect and Adapt (I&A) event 

C. to measure the predictability of business value delivered in the PI (Program Increment) timebox.

Why this is correct

  • Focus on Value Delivery: The essence of the program predictability measure is to assess how reliably and predictably an Agile Release Train (ART) can deliver value to the business within a predefined PI timebox. This metric is crucial because it reflects the ART’s ability to meet its commitments, allowing stakeholders to gauge the consistency of value delivery over time.

  • Building Stakeholder Confidence: By measuring the predictability of business value delivery, organizations can build and maintain confidence among stakeholders, including customers, business executives, and team members. Predictability in delivering expected outcomes is key to fostering trust and supporting strategic planning and investment decisions.

  • Continuous Improvement: This measure provides a quantitative basis for continuous improvement within the ART. By analyzing deviations from planned versus actual delivery, teams can identify systemic issues, process inefficiencies, or other impediments to improve future PIs.

Why the others are not as correct

  • To match customer demand to the Agile Release Train’s velocity: While understanding the ART’s velocity is important for planning and matching capacity to demand, the primary focus of the program predictability measure during I&A is to assess how consistently the ART delivers value, not directly to match customer demand.

  • To predict the scope of the remaining requirements in the Program Backlog: Predicting the scope of remaining requirements is more about backlog management and future PI planning. The program predictability measure focuses on assessing the delivery of committed items in the current PI.

  • To forecast when remaining features could be delivered to customers: Forecasting delivery of remaining features is an outcome of effective PI planning and ongoing backlog refinement. The program predictability measure specifically assesses how predictably the ART has delivered value in the past PI, which informs but is distinct from forecasting future feature delivery.


Other SAFe Scrum Master Question –
What is the purpose of the Large Solution Level in SAFe?

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